Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.673427 2.816998 2.966735 3.135023 3.319458 3.516086 3.742413
2025-11-09 2.392516 2.593812 2.813949 3.074412 3.376631 3.719359 4.141972
2025-11-16 2.224077 2.456149 2.718000 3.038859 3.426454 3.886386 4.484319
2025-11-23 2.124941 2.381975 2.679501 3.054929 3.524437 4.104456 4.896177
2025-11-30 2.041609 2.316803 2.642174 3.063056 3.605445 4.299938 5.291436
2025-12-07 1.931796 2.211404 2.547059 2.989166 3.571743 4.338255 5.471632
2025-12-14 1.843738 2.126942 2.471540 2.932878 3.553300 4.390538 5.670633
2025-12-21 1.783369 2.073063 2.430328 2.916534 3.584146 4.509120 5.974765
2025-12-28 1.728745 2.023345 2.391086 2.899079 3.610138 4.620019 6.276233
2026-01-04 1.691309 1.993404 2.375222 2.910908 3.676061 4.792029 6.692860
2026-01-11 1.660902 1.970825 2.367300 2.932093 3.755257 4.988656 7.174155
2026-01-18 1.627229 1.942340 2.349773 2.938114 3.811357 5.152649 7.619686
2026-01-25 1.578209 1.892905 2.303350 2.902695 3.805849 5.222461 7.913585
2026-02-01 1.525342 1.836771 2.245886 2.848885 3.769218 5.238844 8.110470
2026-02-08 1.483810 1.794342 2.205434 2.817466 3.764650 5.307290 8.418723
2026-02-15 1.460500 1.775544 2.196667 2.831667 3.832042 5.503681 9.021155
2026-02-22 1.436359 1.754657 2.183919 2.838847 3.887917 5.684239 9.624031
2026-03-01 1.390333 1.702380 2.125013 2.773514 3.820768 5.635779 9.700913
2026-03-08 1.351545 1.659077 2.077538 2.723662 3.776468 5.625781 9.866973
2026-03-15 1.325815 1.633096 2.053880 2.709173 3.790210 5.725043 10.314441
2026-03-22 1.301070 1.607792 2.030326 2.693693 3.801037 5.819174 10.768335
2026-03-29 1.285251 1.594509 2.023664 2.704184 3.856956 6.006428 11.510070
2026-04-05 1.272566 1.585228 2.022419 2.722966 3.928239 6.231508 12.418205